while it is impossible to argue with certainty that Raila Odinga won the election, it is possible to argue with near certainty and evidence that Mwai

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US declines to reveal the eight in travel ban

By KEVIN J KELLEY, NATION Correspondent, NEW YORK Last updated: 54 minutes ago
The State Department has refused to disclose the identities of eight Kenyans who have been warned that they may be barred from travelling to the US.
But a member of the United States team that monitored the December 27 elections has given the Senate 16 names of reputed “hardliners” associated with both President Kibaki’s camp and the Orange Democratic Movement. The identities of the eight individuals cannot be disclosed “because of the confidentiality of visa records,” State Department spokesman Tom Casey told reporters in Washington on Thursday.
Overseas assets
Mr Casey indicated that the eight include “a mixture of politicians and businessmen.”
He insisted that eight, not 10, Kenyans had been sent letters indicating that their US visas could be revoked if investigations determine they were linked to the post-election violence.
US embassy officials in Nairobi had earlier indicated that 10 Kenyans had been issued letters of warning.
Prof Joel Barkan, a member of the International Republican Institute election monitoring team, meanwhile named 16 Kenyans who should immediately be barred from entering the US.
The overseas assets of these “hardliners” should also be frozen as part of sanctions coordinated with the United Kingdom and European Union, he added.
Most of those on the list are political and business associates of the President, all of them from central Kenya.
Prof Barkan also named ODM hardliners, mostly politicians from the Rift Valley, as responsible for the violence in the region.
In regard to the outcome of the General Election, Prof Barkan said that “while it is impossible to argue with certainty that Raila Odinga won the election, it is possible to argue with near certainty and evidence that Mwai Kibaki did not win. Indeed, Kibaki may also have failed to meet the requirement that the winning candidate received at least 25 per cent of the vote in five of Kenya’s eight provinces, a test Raila Odinga easily passed.”
Prevent bloodshed
Also on Thursday, the US House of Representatives voted unanimously for a freeze of all non-humanitarian aid to Kenya if PNU and ODM prove unable to resolve the election crisis peacefully.
In a related development, US State Department’s top diplomat for Africa says an independent investigation into the polls fiasco could help prevent more bloodshed.

Assistant Secretary of State Jendayi Frazer said Washington was examining how to treat those who incited the ethnic violence that has rocked Kenya since President Kibaki’s disputed re-election.
Ms Frazer did not suggest who might conduct such a probe.
Meanwhile, Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka told US officials that a power-sharing arrangement “is not a panacea” for Kenya’s crisis. Mr Musyoka told the Nation on Thursday that he conveyed that message in meetings with John Negroponte, the State Department’s second-highest ranking official, and with Ms Frazer.
Additional reporting by Reuters